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- NATION, Page 23DEMOCRATSTsongas' Surprising Surge
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- The ex-Senator is neither pretty nor witty, but his candor is
- catching on
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- By LAURENCE I. BARRETT/NASHUA -- With reporting by Sam Allis/
- Hanover
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- Paul Tsongas, Campaign '92's underdog of choice, passed
- a symbolic milestone last week. An aide to the Democratic front
- runner, Bill Clinton, suggested a reporter check out Tsongas'
- occasional lobbying activities on behalf of legal clients. Until
- recently the ex-Senator from Massachusetts was considered such
- a weak competitor that his rivals didn't bother to attack him.
- Now that his candidacy shows strong signs of surviving beyond
- the New Hampshire primary next Tuesday, Tsongas must take his
- turn as target. He regards that as a compliment.
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- "At the beginning," he quipped in an interview, "I was
- sort of irritated that no one bothered to look" for dirt. Of
- course he dealt with government agencies, Tsongas said, reciting
- a list of transactions known to anyone familiar with his legal
- career. Large liabilities still afflict his candidacy, but an
- ethics deficiency isn't one. Neither is meanness. Tsongas last
- Thursday followed Clinton and Nebraska Senator Bob Kerrey
- before the same audience in Nashua. Reporters badgered all three
- about Clinton's latest problem -- the charge that he ducked
- military service during the Vietnam War. Kerrey exploited the
- opportunity to compound Clinton's difficulties, as did Iowa
- Senator Tom Harkin. Tsongas declined to follow suit.
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- Yet to the extent that Clinton suffers attrition in New
- Hampshire, Tsongas stands to benefit far more than Kerrey,
- Harkin or former Governor Jerry Brown of California. Since
- mid-January, as the others floundered, Tsongas has become
- Clinton's main challenger in the first primary. Favorable news
- coverage and his performances in televised debates have also
- raised him above asterisk status in national surveys. While New
- Hampshire polls continue to depict a skittish electorate,
- Tsongas' support is less volatile than that of his rivals, and
- in one survey late last week Tsongas held a shaky lead. "He's
- everyone's first or second choice," says Democratic chairman
- Chris Spirou. Thus Tsongas, the contender who reminds no one of
- a President, might squeeze victory out of the state's mercurial
- mood.
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- That prospect defies the early punditry that imprisoned
- Tsongas in the "second tier" of prospects. He is tunneling out
- of that dungeon with a gritty consistency that trashes
- conventional wisdom. His self-imposed "pro-business Democrat"
- label alienates many liberals, but Tsongas is gaining support
- among others by departing from party dogma. "They love
- employment," Tsongas says of traditional Democrats. "It's the
- employers they can't stand. They have never understood the
- link." Unions want a new law to protect the jobs of strikers.
- Tsongas opposes it on the ground that it would encourage
- confrontation. Most of the candidates favor a tax reduction for
- middle-class families. No, says Tsongas, because the deficit is
- strangling the economy, and succeeding generations will be stuck
- with the tab.
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- The economy's salvation, he insists, lies in restoring its
- manufacturing base, and that requires short-term sacrifice along
- with long-range strategy. "Lose me," he warns, "and your choice
- is which Santa Claus you want." This austerity line appeals to
- residents of a state leery of the promises-promises approach.
- Says David Moore, who directs polling at the University of New
- Hampshire: "There's a feeling that Tsongas is the one addressing
- the voters' central concern: jobs."
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- At every opportunity, Tsongas reinforces his image as Mr.
- Candor: "I have only one horse to ride -- truth. If I give that
- up, I'm just a Greek from Massachusetts who has had cancer."
- This tactic extends to volunteering the fact that he required
- the assistance of a media coach to spice up his oatmeal style.
- In the past month his performance has risen from dreadful to
- mediocre, but his TV spots still use an announcer's voice rather
- than his drone.
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- Another problem is that Tsongas lacks the money to
- advertise as often as his rivals. Affluent Greek Americans who
- normally contribute heavily to their own have been holding back.
- "The Greek money is frozen," Tsongas concedes. With his frail
- treasury, his need to concentrate on New Hampshire and his lack
- of a national network, Tsongas has been unable to do much
- spadework outside New England. A victory in New Hampshire would
- solve his anonymity problem, but even that boost would leave him
- struggling desperately when the action moves to the South.
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- Tsongas waves off such pessimism. He beat the lymphoma
- that drove him from the Senate in 1984. When he became the
- first announced Democrat in April 1991, skeptics predicted he
- would be an ex-candidate by last Labor Day. Now, says his aide
- Peg Connolly, "Paul is suffering a serious case of
- self-confidence." How confident? For months, he says in utter
- seriousness, he has been making a list of possible running mates
- and Cabinet appointees.
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